Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 20.113954 22.694398 25.420260 28.508351 31.903564 35.516535 39.645801
2024-12-29 17.080361 20.742211 24.843569 29.754604 35.451009 41.825513 49.472480
2025-01-05 14.255516 18.544671 23.615585 29.999714 37.764678 46.842431 58.192192
2025-01-12 11.478938 15.980951 21.591517 29.001561 38.424356 49.893091 64.780405
2025-01-19 9.260197 13.777345 19.701151 27.888761 38.741293 52.447547 70.853332
2025-01-26 8.318362 13.111575 19.678923 29.111438 42.052903 58.900278 82.154443
2025-02-02 7.931744 13.150260 20.577086 31.599858 47.169380 67.956184 97.305403
2025-02-09 7.275170 12.693808 20.704322 32.985095 50.830862 75.244654 110.470524
2025-02-16 6.415349 11.802467 20.083545 33.203016 52.816925 80.305587 120.821821
2025-02-23 5.510942 10.708888 19.024773 32.643229 53.587873 83.649311 128.890159
2025-03-02 4.788979 9.813711 18.167023 32.283326 54.577354 87.290706 137.475195
2025-03-09 4.324326 9.299389 17.860541 32.737342 56.786505 92.761027 148.870183
2025-03-16 3.776295 8.571895 17.146423 32.509158 57.979799 96.877481 158.628578
2025-03-23 3.559988 8.445727 17.456417 34.000376 61.984275 105.420746 175.336056
2025-03-30 3.200902 7.983045 17.114670 34.341883 64.130132 111.195093 188.093998
2025-04-06 2.708449 7.164110 16.023760 33.267705 63.841490 113.124953 195.012547
2025-04-13 2.271298 6.386064 14.914773 32.047335 63.195329 114.412490 200.933491
2025-04-20 2.158719 6.327031 15.211795 33.439101 67.130645 123.256521 219.097871
2025-04-27 2.188035 6.608720 16.222723 36.244208 73.688888 136.642587 244.960717
2025-05-04 2.095582 6.578187 16.579490 37.806182 78.094365 146.611217 265.619544
2025-05-11 1.899839 6.254858 16.281110 38.056596 80.127795 152.669616 280.097702
2025-05-18 1.659585 5.770431 15.577120 37.433233 80.503724 155.908236 290.017772
2025-05-25 1.463965 5.368837 15.009504 37.032369 81.251876 159.784992 301.089383